Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 9.890971 11.300978 12.849735 14.678611 16.781276 19.125400 21.940256
2025-11-23 7.778229 9.569851 11.693681 14.402519 17.773986 21.842854 27.142528
2025-11-30 6.916082 8.970278 11.541774 15.008563 19.578268 25.420826 33.497602
2025-12-07 6.165760 8.348961 11.206480 15.238405 20.810738 28.284095 39.140632
2025-12-14 5.502245 7.731527 10.763525 15.213554 21.621778 30.581724 44.175233
2025-12-21 4.933930 7.164573 10.303725 15.075861 22.205438 32.553836 48.880324
2025-12-28 4.653185 6.966830 10.328039 15.608567 23.774698 36.052129 56.151170
2026-01-04 4.370471 6.730116 10.259981 15.976362 25.103406 39.280980 63.303196
2026-01-11 4.160600 6.578489 10.296510 16.492571 26.689001 43.025981 71.628503
2026-01-18 3.776962 6.115475 9.801727 16.105735 26.767297 44.336097 76.025125
2026-01-25 3.466031 5.739857 9.409496 15.841370 27.006414 45.905334 80.980347
2026-02-01 3.194125 5.403721 9.050245 15.592908 27.235940 47.455679 86.021872
2026-02-08 2.948984 5.095672 8.717744 15.369478 27.503190 49.121228 91.498005
2026-02-15 2.715163 4.787364 8.358575 15.064658 27.591488 50.465889 96.503704
2026-02-22 2.652900 4.775840 8.515185 15.700402 29.456092 55.223381 108.524671
2026-03-01 2.535797 4.654504 8.463273 15.941315 30.591542 58.700719 118.368512
2026-03-08 2.391399 4.470488 8.280621 15.915266 31.202436 61.208783 126.488315
2026-03-15 2.244072 4.268938 8.048496 15.770930 31.560898 63.238835 133.804351
2026-03-22 2.195855 4.253410 8.167825 16.329352 33.384469 68.388757 148.314692
2026-03-29 2.129387 4.196496 8.201346 16.714926 34.881334 72.991725 162.106342
2026-04-05 2.083824 4.177334 8.306994 17.256119 36.751802 78.550340 178.634260
2026-04-12 1.941233 3.950264 7.976538 16.850556 36.539565 79.572470 184.799785
2026-04-19 1.822677 3.764153 7.716223 16.573406 36.583615 81.159230 192.453974